Model-estimated outcome probabilities for every match and the title race — with the methodology in plain sight and every estimate timestamped. Built for research and entertainment. No betting, no wagering, no guaranteed outcomes.
An AI analytics platform for sports and events — the 2026 World Cup is our first analysis topic, with more events to follow.
Champion and round-by-round progression probabilities for the field, refreshed as each knockout round is decided.
The inputs and model logic are documented. You can see how an estimate is built — not just the final number.
Every estimate is published with a timestamp, so the track record builds up verifiably as the tournament unfolds.
These are probabilities, not certainties. Football is high-variance: an outcome estimated at 65% still fails to happen roughly a third of the time. We publish the estimate and the reasoning so you can judge it for yourself.
All content on ProbPilot is probability analysis based on data and statistical models, provided for research, informational and entertainment purposes only. Estimates are not statements of fact or guarantees; sporting outcomes are uncertain. Nothing here is betting advice, financial advice, or an inducement to gamble, and we neither offer nor facilitate betting or wagering of any kind. You are responsible for your own decisions and for complying with the laws of your location.